Consulting

Build a measurement system you can defend.

We partner with your team to build the model — Bayesian MMM, geo-experiments, and the calibration loop that ties them together. Every assumption documented, every result validated, the code yours to keep.

contribution_decomp · last_52wVALIDATED
BaseBrandPaid searchPaid socialAffiliates non-incremental →
R² (holdout)0.91 Channels11 Refreshweekly
01 Capabilities

Three connected disciplines, one coherent system.

Marketing Mix Modeling

Transparent Bayesian MMM built from the ground up in PyMC or Google Meridian — adstock, saturation and channel ROI with full uncertainty, no black box.

  • Channel-level ROI with credible intervals
  • Budget optimisation & response curves
  • Documented, maintainable code

Experimentation & Incrementality

Geo-experiments, holdout tests and incrementality studies designed to answer causal questions — not “did revenue go up?” but “did this cause it?”

  • Matched-market & synthetic control
  • Power analysis before you spend
  • GeoLift, DiD & Bayesian structural models

Calibration & Data Strategy

The loop that makes it trustworthy: feed experimental results back into the model, reconcile MMM with platform data, and keep the system honest over time.

  • Experiment-calibrated priors
  • Data pipeline & readiness fixes
  • Stakeholder-ready reporting cadence
02 How an engagement runs

From data audit to handover.

A typical MMM build runs 8–12 weeks. You’re involved at every gate — nothing is decided behind a curtain.

Start with a discovery call
1

Data audit & readiness

We assess data quality, granularity and gaps, then build a clean pipeline. No model is worth more than the data under it.

2

Model build

A custom MMM in PyMC or Meridian, calibrated with your business context — adstock, saturation, seasonality and controls made explicit.

3

Validation

Holdout testing, prior–posterior checks, and business-sense review. Where possible, calibrated against a live geo-experiment.

4

Budget optimisation

Scenario planning and marginal-ROI curves for every channel — the “where should the next dollar go?” answer, with uncertainty attached.

5

Handover

Full documentation, code, and training so your team can run and maintain it. You own the system — not us, not a vendor.

03 What you walk away with

A glass box — and the keys to it.

No dependency, no lock-in. When the engagement ends, the capability stays in your building.

  • A fully transparent Bayesian MMM with uncertainty quantification
  • Channel-level ROI estimates with credible intervals
  • Budget-optimisation scenarios and diminishing-returns curves
  • Adstock & saturation parameters you can explain to stakeholders
  • Complete model documentation and code handover
04 Who this is for
  • Brands spending $1M+ on media who need to justify and optimise allocation
  • Teams moving away from last-click or an opaque vendor MMM
  • Leaders who must present measurement to the C-suite with confidence
iGaming · multi-market
7×
faster reporting cycle after replacing a quarterly vendor model with an in-house weekly refresh.
He championed the shift toward robust incrementality testing — bringing a new level of scientific discipline to our marketing.
WCWill Cook
Head of UK Analytics, Just Eat Takeaway
05 Engagement options

Most builds start with an audit.

The Marketing Measurement Audit is the low-risk first step: it scopes exactly what to build before you commit to a build budget. Its fee is credited against a Guided or Full Build signed within 30 days. Final scope and price are confirmed in discovery.

Start here

Marketing Measurement Audit

£4,500

3–4 weeks. The diagnostic that tells you what to build — and de-risks the decision. Fee credited toward a build.

See the audit
Senior-led

Full Build

from £25,000

We build the system end to end and hand it over with documentation, code and training. Limited capacity — typically one active full build at a time.

Enquire

Prefer ongoing senior judgment instead of a build? A monthly advisory retainer (from £1,500/mo) is available — ask in discovery.

Start the conversation

Tell us about your measurement challenge.

Share where you are, or book a 30-minute discovery call. You’ll speak with Gui directly — not a sales team.

We reply within one business day. Your details stay between us.

Prefer to talk?

Book a free 30-minute discovery call to talk through your measurement challenge.

Book a discovery call